Home/Expansions/Mega Evolution Chaos Rising/Mega Greninja ex
Mega Greninja ex Stage 2
#122/86Illus. takuyoa
Mega Hyper Rare

Mega Greninja ex

#122/86 · from Chaos Rising · released May 22, 2026
Track this card
Holofoil
85/ 100
A-Tier Chase

Cardrake Chase Score

A top chase card for this set.

Does this score look right?

Quick take

  • Rarest Mega Greninja in Chaos Rising at roughly 1 in 1,786 packs
  • Second-most expensive card in the set, behind only its own SIR sibling
  • Required for any complete Mega Greninja rarity chain (Double Rare → SIR → MHR)
  • Gold etched treatment replaces full-art illustration with hammered-metal foiling

Collector's readWhat it means for your master set

Set position
2 of 198
One of the most valuable cards in the set (#2)
Cost to complete
≈25%
of the ~$527 to finish Chaos Rising
Completion difficulty Est.
Very Hard
One of the hardest cards to complete
Where it sits in the price lifecycle
Release Hype
Post-Release Correction
Stable / Reprint Risk
End-of-Print Spike
Out-of-Print Maturation
Buy timingChaos Rising is freshly released and still in packs — prices are at their most volatile, and a post-hype correction is normal.
Newly released · pricing trending down · estimated

Set landscapeWhere this card sits in Chaos Rising

fewermore cards
Common
38
38
Uncommon
26
26
Rare
12
12
Double Rare
1
9
10
Ultra Rare
17
1
18
Illustration Rare
9
2
11
Special Illustration Rare
5
1
6
Mega Hyper Rare
1
1
all
77
9
26
3
5
2
0
122
0.5
1
5
15
50
150
150+
Columns = resale price up to $X (log) · shade = cards in cell (log) · right & bottom = totals · white ring = this card

VariantsCard variants

Holofoil 122/86 · $132.53 — the only variant this card was printed in (no reverse holo or special pattern), so a master set needs just this one copy.

Mega Greninja ex Mega Hyper Rare is the gold-textured Greninja the Mega Evolution era expected to be the headline chase. Pre-release Japanese trackers had it priced above the SIR at #116. English collectors disagreed, and the gold variant settled at around $400 raw while the SIR cleared $594. Still the rarest Mega Greninja in print, still the second-most expensive card in Chaos Rising, still mandatory for collectors completing the rarity chain. Just not the headline anymore.

The storyThe Gold Greninja That Came Second on Day One

Mega Hyper Rare is the highest rarity slot in the Mega Evolution era. Full-card etched gold texture, the Pokemon art preserved but recoloured under hammered metal, no full-bleed illustration. The treatment trades artistic ambition for scarcity stamp, and collectors who chase MHRs do it for the rarity tier rather than the picture.

“Rarest Mega Greninja in Chaos Rising at roughly 1 in 1,786 packs”

For most cards in the era that math works. Mega Greninja MHR was supposed to be the test case. Pre-release Japanese coverage projected it past the SIR. The English market closed the question in week one, the SIR took the top spot and the MHR settled at around $400 raw, second in the set rather than first.

None of that diminishes the card. The 1-in-1,786 pull rate makes it roughly 25x rarer than any SIR in the set. Collectors building the full Mega Greninja rarity chain (Double Rare at #022, SIR at #116, MHR at #122) need this slot. Master set chasers need it. The MHR is doing what MHRs do, anchoring the top of the structural-scarcity ladder. It's not winning the popularity contest at the top of the price ladder.

By the numbersMarket analysis

Price context

Around $400 raw on TCGPlayer at last sync. Second-highest card in Chaos Rising behind only Mega Greninja SIR at #116 (~$594). The next tier of SIRs in the set sits at $63-114, so the MHR is comfortably above that cluster but clearly below the headline.

Price trend

MHRs trade differently from SIRs. The gold treatment appeals to investment-focused collectors who prioritise rarity stamps over illustration. That demand pool is narrower and slower-moving than art-driven SIR demand. Expect this card to glide rather than swing, the 1-in-1,786 pull rate provides structural scarcity that the SIR doesn't quite match.

Investment outlook

Better long-term durability than typical SIRs at this price point. The MHR scarcity survives reprint cycles and rotation pressure in a way art-driven cards don't always manage. Greninja's permanent fanbase provides the demand floor. The risk is the SIR continuing to outperform on social demand, which can suppress MHR pricing despite the rarity advantage. PSA 10 graded copies are the cleanest hold.

Demand drivers
Highest rarity stamp in Chaos Rising, required for master set completionGreninja's permanent collector demand carries across rarity tiersGold MHR treatment appeals to investment-focused collectors specificallyExtreme scarcity at 1 in 1,786 packs makes any pull a release-night eventRarity-chain completion alongside the SIR and Double Rare Mega Greninja slots
Graded premium

PSA 10 around 1.5-2x raw. The hammered gold surface is forgiving on print quality but unforgiving on handling marks. Fingerprints and surface scuffs grade harshly. The texture can hide minor centering issues that still come back lower than expected, the slab process catches things human inspection misses.

Approx. pull rate

Roughly 1 in 1,786 packs across all MHR slots in Chaos Rising based on community Mega Evolution era data. Booster box odds (36 packs) work out to around 1 in 50 boxes per MHR slot. The rarest pull tier in the era.

Rarity context

Top of the Chaos Rising rarity ladder alongside other Mega ex MHRs in the set. The pull rate is roughly 25x rarer than any SIR. Despite that, the SIR outsold this card on day one, which is unusual but tells you what collectors are actually paying for.

ArtworkWhy the art matters

Card artwork
Artist · Unknown

Artist information pending verification from card database updates.

The artwork

The standard Mega Greninja ex card art preserved within the gold etched border. The illustration shows Mega Greninja in a more contained pose than the SIR, closer to the standard card frame, with hammered-metal foiling replacing the typical holofoil pattern across the entire card face. Background and figure both render in gold tones.

Technical details

Mega Hyper Rare with full-card etched gold foiling. Texture follows a hammered-metal pattern across the entire surface, including typography and energy symbols. No coloured ink layers, the whole card reads as gold under any lighting.

What makes it special

MHR is the rarity that signals investment-grade collecting. The treatment is consistent across the entire Mega Evolution era, which gives the MHRs a unified visual identity that the more varied SIRs lack. Mega Greninja's underlying art happens to work particularly well in monochrome gold because the ninja design relies on silhouette and motion rather than colour palette.

BackgroundAbout Mega Greninja ex

See me04-116 for the full Greninja franchise history. Generation VI Water/Dark starter, National Pokedex #658. Ash's anime signature partner across the XY arc. Smash Bros. fighter since Smash 4. Battle Bond / Ash-Greninja special distribution in Sun and Moon. Mega Greninja debut in Legends: Z-A (2025).

Why fans love it
  • ›Greninja's broad cross-audience demand carries across all three rarity tiers
  • ›MHR rarity attracts the investment-focused collector segment specifically
  • ›Rarity-chain completionists need this slot to finish the Greninja set
  • ›Smash Bros. and Ash-Greninja crossover audiences extend appeal beyond TCG
  • ›Master set builders need this card regardless of personal Greninja preference
Notable appearances
  • ›Final evolution in Pokemon X/Y (2013)
  • ›Ash's signature Pokemon in XY and XY&Z anime arcs
  • ›Playable in Super Smash Bros. for Wii U/3DS and Ultimate
  • ›Battle Bond / Ash-Greninja special distribution (Sun/Moon, 2016)
  • ›Mega Evolution debut in Pokemon Legends: Z-A (2025)
Competitive relevance

Greninja's competitive history is documented above the chase-card layer. The MHR has playable stats matching the SIR and Double Rare, but the value and pull difficulty make it a display piece by default.

Own it wellCollector guide

Condition notes

Gold etched surfaces grade harshly on handling defects. Fingerprints, surface scuffs, edge whitening, all immediately visible against the consistent gold tone. Centering can be tricky to evaluate because the gold border blends with the foiled face. Inspect under angled light and high magnification.

Grading recommendation

Grade clean copies. PSA 10 premium runs 1.5-2x raw. Handle with sleeves only, body oil on gold etched surfaces is a common downgrade. Wait for market stabilisation, 30-60 days post-release, before submitting if you can, early submissions chase a peaky market. Read the grading guide →

Storage advice

Sleeve on pull, rigid top loader or magnetic case for raw. Graded slabs are the gold standard for long holds at this tier. Climate-controlled storage matters more for gold-etched cards than standard holofoils, the surface is more sensitive to humidity cycling. See the storage guide →

Buying advice

Direct purchase only. The 1-in-1,786 pull rate makes sealed product irrational at this scale. TCGPlayer Direct and reputable eBay sellers carry inventory within the first week. MHRs typically settle slower than SIRs, so timing is less urgent than it would be for the SIR variant. See the singles buying guide →

Authentication tips

At this price tier, authentication is non-negotiable for raw purchases. Counterfeits often get the gold colour close but the texture wrong. Graded slabs from PSA, CGC, or BGS eliminate the risk for serious purchases.

Word on the streetCommunity sentiment

Reception

Positive but quieter than the SIR. The community settled on the framing that the MHR is the serious-collector chase while the SIR is the art-collector chase. Both have legitimate buyers, but the pull-video moments favour the SIR's illustration, which keeps the MHR's social ceiling lower than its rarity would suggest.

Notable sales
  • ›Day-one TCGPlayer market around $400 raw
  • ›Pre-release Japanese estimates had this card around $600, English market settled lower
Social buzz

Steady but lower-key. Pull videos featuring this card celebrate the rarity rather than the art. The gold treatment is consistent across the entire era, so each MHR pull reads as 'one of the rare ones' rather than a unique artistic moment. Mega Greninja's existing fanbase keeps engagement constant even without viral pull moments.

Good to knowFrequently asked questions

Roughly 1 in 1,786 packs based on community Mega Evolution era data. Per booster box (36 packs), that works out to around 1 in 50 boxes per MHR slot. With multiple MHRs in Chaos Rising, the odds of pulling any specific one are lower still. Direct singles purchase is the only economical path.
Pre-release Japanese trackers had the MHR above the SIR. English collectors reversed that order in week one. The illustrated SIR captured more social and pull-video demand than the gold etched MHR, despite the MHR being roughly 25x rarer. Art-driven demand outweighed scarcity-driven demand for this specific Pokemon.
No. The 1-in-1,786 pull rate makes sealed product irrational. A booster box gives roughly a 2% shot at any specific MHR. The math always favours direct singles purchase at this rarity tier.
Different bets. The MHR has structural scarcity that survives reprint cycles. The SIR has art-driven demand that survives popularity shifts. For Greninja specifically, both have durable floors because the character cuts across multiple audiences. PSA 10 graded copies of either are cleaner long holds than raw.
Yes. A master set includes one of each card in every rarity treatment. Skipping the MHR leaves a visible gap in the Mega Greninja rarity chain across #022, #116, and #122. Master sets need all three.

Keep collectingRelated cards

Game data
Type
Pokémon
Element
Water
Stage
Stage 2
HP
350
Rarity
Mega Hyper Rare
Artist
takuyoa
AbilityMortal Shuriken
Once during your turn, if this Pokémon is in the Active Spot, you may discard a Basic Water Energy card from your hand in order to use this Ability. Place 6 damage counters on 1 of your opponent's Pokémon.
WWNinja Spinner
120+
You may put a Water Energy attached to this Pokémon into your hand and have this attack do 80 more damage.
Weakness
LLightningx2
Resistance
None
Retreat
C

Plan your Mega Evolution Chaos Rising master set

Track every card, see what you're missing, and lay out your binder page by page.

Open the binder planner

More cards in Mega Evolution Chaos Rising

See all 122 cards →

More from takuyoa